Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.203533 1.473767 1.823768 2.325831 3.056192 4.132486 5.957814
2025-05-11 0.829945 1.109085 1.525026 2.239082 3.563205 6.291964 14.094426
2025-05-18 0.669908 0.947342 1.401842 2.293043 4.318443 10.174336 45.662728
2025-05-25 0.579464 0.855515 1.342733 2.411412 5.351852 17.887242 399.161590
2025-06-01 0.504035 0.766160 1.253327 2.413349 6.136537 29.508376 NaN
2025-06-08 0.439734 0.681416 1.146463 2.319260 6.546351 44.484762 NaN
2025-06-15 0.405901 0.644463 1.124412 2.430964 7.995364 106.507320 NaN
2025-06-22 0.371569 0.600151 1.074922 2.442974 9.110033 276.209568 NaN
2025-06-29 0.338531 0.553160 1.008772 2.375085 9.741349 787.296985 NaN
2025-07-06 0.312246 0.515855 0.957199 2.333518 10.572946 6776.482685 NaN
2025-07-13 0.302175 0.509598 0.977354 2.552033 14.346956 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.289114 0.495214 0.974302 2.688524 18.381698 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.271393 0.469332 0.938219 2.682692 21.070863 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.252134 0.438200 0.883331 2.574111 21.872201 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.240654 0.422810 0.868124 2.639881 27.130358 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.232495 0.413781 0.868658 2.785362 37.429156 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.221287 0.396667 0.843187 2.787738 44.594891 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.208311 0.374354 0.799300 2.671984 45.706353 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.202373 0.367676 0.800337 2.809456 66.738076 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.194235 0.355101 0.781626 2.824274 83.934370 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.184829 0.338785 0.749206 2.740610 90.327751 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.176806 0.325173 0.723485 2.689497 102.402794 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.175044 0.326331 0.744234 2.959150 237.814039 NaN NaN